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Unlock your potential
by using the
premier strategy development and implementation organisation
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Scenario Planning
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WHAT ARE "SCENARIOS" AND WHY ARE THEY USEFUL?
One-off
or dramatic events - such as the partial meltdown of the Fukushima
nuclear power plant - can have profound and unexpected
effects on all sectors of the energy market, including possible
sudden reversals of power plant fleet build strategies and the rapid
re-tooling of renewables funding and governmental policy.
Although
it is an important component of the strategic planning process, the
projection of trends will only reveal those outcomes which, in a
sense, are already to be expected given current
conditions. How is it possible to look outside the envelope
of trend analysis in order to develop robust strategies necessary for
your organisation to deal with both likely outcomes and unexpected
"black swan" events which can, in an instant, turn an existing
paradigm upside down?
Energy Edge partner Decision Strategies International has developed a
collaborative strategic tool using a tailored scenario planning process
which helps customers to adapt to changing business landscapes
while preparing them to identify and capitalize upon the opportunities
which can arise from surprising circumstances.
ENERGY SECTOR SCENARIO BUILDING
To help your company build a strategy for dealing with change, Energy
Edge has teamed up with DSI to conduct intensive Scenario
Planning processes tailored to your positions within the energy
and power markets. Working closely with you, we look at how
drivers including comparative fuel prices, carbon emission credit
prices, policy changes, and relative levels of international
competition and political cohesiveness can affect corporate and project
outcomes.
THE FUTURE OF THERMAL COAL IN THE EUROPEAN UNION
In January 2011, Energy
Edge and DSI facilitated a Scenario Planning workshop on the Future of
Thermal Hard Coal in the EU. Participants looked in particular at
two drivers - the cost of coal relative to other fuels, and the degree
of success of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) - in order to
develop a set of reasonable stories around how the demand for coal
might evolve in the EU under differing circumstances.
In fleshing out the four alternate "worlds" developed by
the participants, indicators that the EU might be headed in one
direction or the other were identified, positioning participants to build "robust" strategies across all alternatives.
Read the condensed version of the Workshop report, Scenarios for the Future of the EU Thermal Hard Coal Sector, here (pdf)
WHAT WE CAN OFFER YOU
Working
with you, we can identify the questions important to your company and
planned projects in order to conduct a tailored scenario tool to help
you deal with inherent uncertainties facing the industry.
If you would like to talk more about the Energy Edge /DSI Scenario Planning and its applications, please contact Karl Schultz today.
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